RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
Radar Caídas · 61/100 · Under review
61/1001-year price history
Source: Yahoo FinanceThe chart uses daily closes adjusted by the available provider. There may be delays, gaps or differences versus the official source.
Sources
Links you can open and check yourself, most reliable first. Internal data-provider fetches are not listed here.
Company
Reddit, Inc. operates a digital community in the United States and internationally. The company's platform enables user to engage in conversations, explore passions, research new hobbies, exchange goods and services, create new communities and experiences, share laughs, and find belonging.
- Sector Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
- Website https://redditinc.com
What happened and why it was detected
What happened
The stock fell 21.0% and the most likely cause is this: Quarterly results dated 30 July 2026.
Why we found it interesting
- Confirmed: we know which news caused the drop. The news was published before the price started falling, so the timing lines up.
- We estimate it overshot: it fell about 19.9 points more than the real damage we were able to quantify would justify.
- Out of our 10 checks, 6 come out clearly in favour.
- Final score: 61 out of 100.
What could go wrong
- If the slowdown in user growth in the U.S. is confirmed in the coming quarters, the valuation could continue to decline.
- If the upcoming financial reports show a decline in the company's ability to monetize users, a negative market reaction would be justified and prolonged.
- Negative media coverage can prolong selling pressure even if the operational fundamentals remain positive.
What would make us drop it
- This thesis will be invalidated if the company reports a continued decline in users and monetization in the coming quarters.
- This thesis is invalidated if management revises downward the forecasts it publishes for the year or sets aside significant provisions that affect operating income.
What the confidence percentage means
This 90% is the confidence the model states about its own analysis after reviewing the sources.
Verified data: 8 of 10 checks have real data.
Detection analysis
This structured block did not exist yet for this historical page.
Where the score comes from
The score is computed by Python code from objective data, not by the AI model, and it does not change after the qualitative research.
Fixable problem
16.2 / 25
How much of the problem behind the drop looks fixable
Company strength
20.0 / 20
Revenue, margins, cash and debt before the drop
Overreaction size
7.5 / 15
How much it fell beyond the estimated real damage
Company response
0.0 / 15
Whether management responded publicly after the drop
Chart support
0.0 / 10
Whether the price holds above its 50-day average
Institutional money
0.0 / 10
Large-fund buying: no reliably up-to-date source exists
Bonus points
+17.0
Insider buying, capitulation volume, analysts keeping their rating
Penalty
-0.0
Deteriorating sector and negative signals detected
out of 100
60.7
Indicators
Calculated 2026-07-31T20:30:02.148376Values used by this framework's Python scoring engine at detection time. Only indicators the data source could confirm are shown.
Precio
Variación en 1 día
-20.99%
Variación en 5 días
-16.63%
Variación en 1 mes
-28.87%
Variación en 3 meses
-4.46%
Acciones negociadas ese día
29,053,014
Volumen medio de 10 días
4,936,800
Sirve para comparar: si el volumen del día lo dispara, algo ha pasado
Tamaño
Valor en bolsa
27.08 B$
Lo que cuesta comprar todas las acciones de la empresa
Valor de la empresa entera
31.25 B$
Valor en bolsa más la deuda y menos la caja: lo que costaria comprarla y saldar deudas
Valoración
Veces beneficio esperado
15.40x
Lo mismo, pero con el beneficio que los analistas esperan el año que viene
Veces beneficio operativo (EV/EBITDA)
38.98x
Cuántas veces el beneficio operativo anual paga el mercado por la empresa entera
Veces caja libre (EV/FCF)
45.73x
Lo mismo, pero contra el dinero que la empresa genera de verdad
PER ajustado al crecimiento (PEG)
1.28x
Un PER alto puede estar justificado si la empresa crece rápido. Por debajo de 1 suele verse como barato
Negocio
Crecimiento de ingresos
61.1%
Crecimiento medio anual de ingresos
69.4%
Media de varios años: filtra el ruido de un solo trimestre
Margen bruto
91.4%
De cada 100 dolares vendidos, lo que queda tras el coste directo del producto
Margen operativo
28.8%
Lo que queda de cada 100 dolares vendidos tras todos los gastos del negocio
Caja libre generada (12 meses)
683.26 M$
Dinero que sobra tras pagar gastos e inversiones. En negativo, la empresa quema caja
Cuánto beneficio operativo se convierte en caja
0.85x
Cerca de 1 significa que el beneficio contable acaba siendo dinero real
Deuda
Caja disponible
2.79 B$
Deuda total
20.87 M$
Caja neta
2.77 B$
Caja menos deuda. En positivo, la empresa tiene más dinero que deudas
Años de beneficio operativo para pagar la deuda
-3.45x
Por encima de 3 suele considerarse una deuda exigente
Deuda sobre fondos propios
0.6%
Cuánta deuda usa por cada 100 dolares de capital de los accionistas
Accionistas
Acciones emitidas
141,965,642
Acciones que cotizan libremente
138,531,509
Cuanto menor sea, más bruscos suelen ser los movimientos de precio
Parte en manos de directivos
0.7%
Si los que dirigen la empresa tienen mucho invertido, se juegan lo mismo que tu
Apuestas bajistas sobre el free float
12.1%
Porcentaje de acciones prestadas para apostar a la baja
Why some numbers are coloured and others stay grey
Colour repeats what the sign already says, at three intensities depending on how far the value is from zero. It is never the only signal.
- light
- medium
- strong
- light
- medium
- strong
- Price change: light up to 2%, medium up to 10%, strong above that.
- Margins and growth: light up to 10%, medium up to 35%, strong above that.
Everything whose sign is not good or bad on its own stays grey: valuation (a low P/E can be a bargain or a trap, and almost every company here has just fallen), debt, size, insider ownership and short interest. Those are shown as-is, without the site taking a view.
Analysis of the drop
The drop appears to be an overreaction: Reddit reported strong second-quarter monetization results, but the market reacted negatively to a slowdown in U.S. user growth and concerns about AI; the available fundamentals (net cash, cash flow, and margins) remain solid according to the reports.
Catalyst
Release of second-quarter earnings (8-K dated July 30, 2026) and media coverage on July 31, 2026, which highlighted a slowdown in user growth in the U.S. and concerns about AI, triggering an intraday drop of -20.99%. | Next month
Risks
- If the slowdown in user growth in the U.S. is confirmed in the coming quarters, the valuation could continue to decline.
- If the upcoming financial reports show a decline in the company's ability to monetize users, a negative market reaction would be justified and prolonged.
- Negative media coverage can prolong selling pressure even if the operational fundamentals remain positive.
What would invalidate this analysis
- This thesis will be invalidated if the company reports a continued decline in users and monetization in the coming quarters.
- This thesis is invalidated if management revises downward the forecasts it publishes for the year or sets aside significant provisions that affect operating income.
Development spotted after the drop
Reddit's Tumble Has Been Overdone After It Produced Strong FCF - RDDT Could be 40% Too Cheap · 4 August 2026
We don't judge whether it's good or bad news: compare it against the real return since detection in the table below.
Tracking
Tracking ended 30 days after detection (Radar Caídas policy): the last recorded data point is the 1-month one, it is not updated further.
Horizon
Date
Price
Return
Source
Current
2026-09-06 12:00:07.851637
154.46
9.80%
yahoo
24h
2026-08-03 20:33:24.764305
154.71
9.98%
yahoo
48h
2026-08-03 20:33:24.764305
154.71
9.98%
yahoo
1 week
2026-08-07 21:00:02.585599
161.70
14.95%
yahoo
1 month
2026-08-30 21:00:04.852856
153.00
8.77%
yahoo