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Teradata Corporation

Radar Caídas · 56/100 · Ready to research

56/100

1-year price history

Source: Yahoo Finance
- Calculating change...

The chart uses daily closes adjusted by the available provider. There may be delays, gaps or differences versus the official source.

Sources

Links you can open and check yourself, most reliable first. Internal data-provider fetches are not listed here.

Formulario 10-Q: cuentas del trimestre Formulario 4: compraventa de acciones por un directivo SEC 3 Formulario 8-K: hecho relevante comunicado a la SEC SEC SCHEDULE 13G

Company

Teradata Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides an AI and knowledge platforms in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Product Sales and Consulting Services. The company's AI and Knowledge platform designed for enterprise-grade workloads.

What happened and why it was detected

What happened

The stock fell 18.3% and the most likely cause is this: Quarterly results dated 4 August 2026.

Why we found it interesting

  • Confirmed: we know which news caused the drop. The news was published before the price started falling, so the timing lines up.
  • We estimate it overshot: it fell about 12.1 points more than the real damage we were able to quantify would justify.
  • Out of our 10 checks, 6 come out clearly in favour.
  • Final score: 56 out of 100.

What could go wrong

  • Management could revise its own annual forecasts downward by more than 10% in the coming quarter, which would justify a further decline.
  • The stock is trading 19.08% below its 50-day moving average, according to the technical data provided.
  • The percentage of short positions relative to the free float is high (25.66%), which may increase volatility.
  • If the company discloses adverse information in an additional 8-K (for example, contractual issues), the decline could continue.

What would make us drop it

  • The company will announce a downward revision of its own annual forecasts of more than 10% in its next official statement.
  • A subsequent 8-K filing discloses a material issue (such as the loss of a key contract or weakness in recurring revenue) confirmed by management.
  • Net cash will fall below zero (no longer having net cash) according to the next quarterly report.
  • Free cash flow for the next quarter is negative and greater in magnitude than the $335,375,008 reported for the current period.

What the confidence percentage means

This 85% is the confidence the model states about its own analysis after reviewing the sources.

Verified data: 8 of 10 checks have real data.

Detection analysis

What the market is pricing in

The market appears to be pricing in a scenario of sustained weakness in the company’s future outlook following the release of its earnings (a -23.73% drop in one day). However, the objective data show: positive operating profit (operating margin of 19.14%), total cash of 816,000,000 USD and net cash of 263,000,000 USD, positive free cash flow of 335,375,008 USD, and news that the quarter’s results exceeded estimates. The 90-day consensus earnings revision stands at -6.2%, much lower than the price decline.

Does the drop match the estimated impact?

!! Clearly exaggerated

The stock fell 23.73% in a single trading session following a -6.2% downward revision to the 90-day consensus estimate; the company reported positive net cash (USD 263M) and positive free cash flow (USD 335M) for the reporting period. In addition, there is evidence of buying by executives (net_shares_purchased_pct 903.8). These data indicate that the market is punishing the stock more than the publicly reported operating figures warrant.

Overreaction gap

Stock drop
23.73%
Estimated economic impact
6.20%
Gap
17.53pp

The decline (23.73%) exceeds the consensus revision (-6.2%) by 17.53 percentage points, suggesting a clear overreaction based on the framework’s minimum threshold of 8 points.

Possible scenarios (no probability assigned)

Favourable scenario

Management confirms that the annual forecasts are not being revised downward (or remain within the previous range) and that the coming quarters show signs of operational improvement; executives continue to buy back shares.

Neutral scenario

The company clarifies that the quarter was affected by one-time factors; consensus estimates are being revised downward, but there are no major downward revisions from the company itself; fundamentals (cash and cash flow) remain stable.

Adverse scenario

A significant downward revision to the company's own forecasts (>10%) is confirmed, or an 8-K is filed containing material negative information regarding recurring revenue.

What would rule out this hypothesis

  • The company will announce a downward revision of more than 10% to its own annual forecasts in its next official statement.
  • A subsequent 8-K filing reveals the loss of a contract representing more than 20% of its revenue.
  • Net cash flow reported for the following quarter falls below 0 USD.

Factors that could support a recovery

  1. Public Statement by Management Regarding Forecasts (Press Release or 8-K)

    Horizon: 0–30 days

  2. Quarterly earnings results showing recurring revenue growth and margin

    Horizon: 31–90 days

  3. Continued purchases by executives or announcement of a share buyback

    Horizon: 0–90 days

Comparable historical cases

No verifiable comparable cases were saved for this page.

Where the score comes from

The score is computed by Python code from objective data, not by the AI model, and it does not change after the qualitative research.

Raw score 55.8
Data coverage 85.0% Points not measurable today: 15.0 out of 100.
Coverage-adjusted score 65.6 The adjusted figure does not replace the real score or the ranking. It only visually corrects how much of the 100 points was actually measurable, so missing data is not confused with weak quality.
Fixable problem 16.2 / 25
How much of the problem behind the drop looks fixable
Company strength 20.0 / 20
Revenue, margins, cash and debt before the drop
Overreaction size 4.5 / 15
How much it fell beyond the estimated real damage
Company response 0.0 / 15
Whether management responded publicly after the drop
Chart support 0.0 / 10
Whether the price holds above its 50-day average
Institutional money 0.0 / 10
Large-fund buying: no reliably up-to-date source exists
Bonus points +15.0
Insider buying, capitulation volume, analysts keeping their rating
Penalty -0.0
Deteriorating sector and negative signals detected
out of 100 55.8

Indicators

Calculated 2026-08-05T20:30:02.636191

Values used by this framework's Python scoring engine at detection time. Only indicators the data source could confirm are shown.

Precio

Variación en 1 día -23.73%
Variación en 5 días -14.37%
Variación en 1 mes -28.06%
Variación en 3 meses -12.80%
Acciones negociadas ese día 9,837,921
Volumen medio de 10 días 2,958,980 Sirve para comparar: si el volumen del día lo dispara, algo ha pasado

Tamaño

Valor en bolsa 2.47 B$ Lo que cuesta comprar todas las acciones de la empresa
Valor de la empresa entera 2.76 B$ Valor en bolsa más la deuda y menos la caja: lo que costaria comprarla y saldar deudas

Valoración

Veces beneficio esperado 9.08x Lo mismo, pero con el beneficio que los analistas esperan el año que viene
Veces beneficio operativo (EV/EBITDA) 8.48x Cuántas veces el beneficio operativo anual paga el mercado por la empresa entera
Veces caja libre (EV/FCF) 8.22x Lo mismo, pero contra el dinero que la empresa genera de verdad
PER ajustado al crecimiento (PEG) 6.00x Un PER alto puede estar justificado si la empresa crece rápido. Por debajo de 1 suele verse como barato

Negocio

Crecimiento de ingresos 6.2%
Crecimiento medio anual de ingresos -2.5% Media de varios años: filtra el ruido de un solo trimestre
Margen bruto 60.7% De cada 100 dolares vendidos, lo que queda tras el coste directo del producto
Margen operativo 19.1% Lo que queda de cada 100 dolares vendidos tras todos los gastos del negocio
Caja libre generada (12 meses) 335.38 M$ Dinero que sobra tras pagar gastos e inversiones. En negativo, la empresa quema caja
Cuánto beneficio operativo se convierte en caja 1.03x Cerca de 1 significa que el beneficio contable acaba siendo dinero real

Deuda

Caja disponible 816.00 M$
Deuda total 553.00 M$
Caja neta 263.00 M$ Caja menos deuda. En positivo, la empresa tiene más dinero que deudas
Años de beneficio operativo para pagar la deuda -0.81x Por encima de 3 suele considerarse una deuda exigente
Deuda sobre fondos propios 99.3% Cuánta deuda usa por cada 100 dolares de capital de los accionistas

Accionistas

Acciones emitidas 94,100,000
Acciones que cotizan libremente 86,315,107 Cuanto menor sea, más bruscos suelen ser los movimientos de precio
Parte en manos de directivos 1.0% Si los que dirigen la empresa tienen mucho invertido, se juegan lo mismo que tu
Apuestas bajistas sobre el free float 25.7% Porcentaje de acciones prestadas para apostar a la baja

Why some numbers are coloured and others stay grey

Colour repeats what the sign already says, at three intensities depending on how far the value is from zero. It is never the only signal.

  • light
  • medium
  • strong
  • light
  • medium
  • strong
  • Price change: light up to 2%, medium up to 10%, strong above that.
  • Margins and growth: light up to 10%, medium up to 35%, strong above that.

Everything whose sign is not good or bad on its own stays grey: valuation (a low P/E can be a bargain or a trap, and almost every company here has just fallen), debt, size, insider ownership and short interest. Those are shown as-is, without the site taking a view.

Analysis of the drop

The decline appears to be an overreaction: Teradata reported second-quarter results that beat estimates and maintains a positive net cash position, while the consensus revision was moderate (-6.2%) and there were purchases by executives; the market is punishing the company more than is justified by its cautious outlook.

Catalyst

Second-quarter earnings were reported between August 3 and 5, 2026 (various 8-K and 10-Q filings), and press coverage highlighted that, although operating income improved, the company’s forward-looking guidance remained cautious. This triggered a sharp decline in the stock price during the trading session on August 5. | Next month

Risks

  • Management could revise its own annual forecasts downward by more than 10% in the coming quarter, which would justify a further decline.
  • The stock is trading 19.08% below its 50-day moving average, according to the technical data provided.
  • The percentage of short positions relative to the free float is high (25.66%), which may increase volatility.
  • If the company discloses adverse information in an additional 8-K (for example, contractual issues), the decline could continue.

What would invalidate this analysis

  • The company will announce a downward revision of its own annual forecasts of more than 10% in its next official statement.
  • A subsequent 8-K filing discloses a material issue (such as the loss of a key contract or weakness in recurring revenue) confirmed by management.
  • Net cash will fall below zero (no longer having net cash) according to the next quarterly report.
  • Free cash flow for the next quarter is negative and greater in magnitude than the $335,375,008 reported for the current period.

Development spotted after the drop

Teradata Q2 Earnings Call Highlights · 9 August 2026

We don't judge whether it's good or bad news: compare it against the real return since detection in the table below.

Tracking

Tracking ended 30 days after detection (Radar Caídas policy): the last recorded data point is the 1-month one, it is not updated further.

Horizon Date Price Return Source
Current 2026-09-06 12:00:07.851637 28.05 6.94% yahoo
24h 2026-08-06 21:00:02.286083 26.95 2.74% yahoo
48h 2026-08-07 21:00:02.585599 27.39 4.42% yahoo
1 week 2026-08-12 21:00:02.793853 26.74 1.94% yahoo
1 month 2026-09-04 21:00:06.926936 28.05 6.94% yahoo

Keep researching

Daily report for August 5, 2026