AVEX
AEVEX Corp.
analysed on 2026-09-02
The drop is not large enough1-year price history
Source: Yahoo FinanceThe chart uses daily closes adjusted by the available provider. There may be delays, gaps or differences versus the official source.
Company
AEVEX Corp. operates as a defense technology contractor and enabler of the U.S. Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) dominance strategy mission. The company operates in two segments, Tactical Systems and Global Solutions.
- Sector Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
- Website https://www.aevex.com
Why it was discarded
What happened
The stock fell 10.5%, but we could not identify which news caused it.
Reason for discarding
The drop is not large enough. La caida no alcanza el umbral minimo exigido (1 dia o 48h).
What did look good
- Likely: there is recent news consistent with the drop. There is a company event in the last 48 hours, but we could not place it before the drop began precisely enough to confirm it. The sources reviewed are at the bottom of this page.
- We could not measure the overshoot, because there is no public figure for this catalyst's real damage.
- Out of our 10 checks, 2 come out clearly in favour.
- Final score: 27 out of 100.
What would have to change to consider it again
Se reactivaria como candidato si que se confirme un catalizador principal dentro de la ventana temporal exigida; que el checklist de subsanabilidad supere el minimo exigido (actual 2/10, minimo 7/10); que aparezca una fuente real que permita cuantificar el impacto del catalizador.
What the confidence percentage means
Careful: this 90% does not say the stock will go up. It is the reliability of the source that confirmed the catalyst (an official SEC filing). Since almost every candidate is detected from an official SEC filing, this number repeats a lot.
Verified data: 6 of 10 checks have real data.
Detection analysis
This structured block did not exist yet for this historical page.
Where the score comes from
The score is computed by Python code from objective data, not by the AI model, and it does not change after the qualitative research.
Fixable problem
7.5 / 25
How much of the problem behind the drop looks fixable
Company strength
20.0 / 20
Revenue, margins, cash and debt before the drop
Overreaction size
0.0 / 15
How much it fell beyond the estimated real damage
Company response
0.0 / 15
Whether management responded publicly after the drop
Chart support
0.0 / 10
Whether the price holds above its 50-day average
Institutional money
0.0 / 10
Large-fund buying: no reliably up-to-date source exists
Bonus points
+7.0
Insider buying, capitulation volume, analysts keeping their rating
Penalty
-7.5
Deteriorating sector and negative signals detected
out of 100
27.0
The 10 checks (2 clearly in favour)
Each line is a question the system tries to answer with a real figure. "No data" means there is no reliable source to answer it, not that the answer is bad.
Check
Answer
What it is based on
El catalizador es puntual y no estructural
Partly
temporal_causality_status='probable', deteccion='max_drawdown_over_60m_candles_48h_market_window_peak_at_window_edge'.
El FCF sigue positivo o en tendencia positiva
No data
Sin free_cashflow trimestral ni TTM disponible.
El guidance anual se mantiene o no ha sido emitido
No data
Yahoo no expone guidance corporativo propio, solo revision de consenso de analistas (ver criterio 10).
La direccion ha comunicado respuesta al problema
No
31.0h desde el inicio de la caida sin comunicado de investor_relations detectado.
El balance aguanta sin necesidad de capital
Yes
net_cash=107142000 (caja neta positiva).
Los insiders no han vendido de forma agresiva
No
net_shares_purchased_pct=-58.8 (venta neta agresiva).
La caida supera el impacto cuantificable del evento
No data
Sin impacto cuantificable disponible (solo earnings/guidance tienen fuente cuantificable hoy).
El sector no esta en deterioro estructural
Partly
XLI change_1m=-7.31%.
Hay precedentes de recuperacion post-evento
No data
Sin historico de eventos de caida previos por ticker en esta base de datos todavia.
El consenso no ha recortado estimaciones mas de un 10%
Yes
consensus_revision_pct=92.05%.
Company indicators
Precio
Variación en 1 día
-6.81%
Variación en 5 días
-14.18%
Variación en 1 mes
-18.78%
Variación en 3 meses
-43.09%
Acciones negociadas ese día
1,650,284
Volumen medio de 10 días
1,166,730
Sirve para comparar: si el volumen del día lo dispara, algo ha pasado
Tamaño
Valor en bolsa
888.84 M$
Lo que cuesta comprar todas las acciones de la empresa
Valor de la empresa entera
2.05 B$
Valor en bolsa más la deuda y menos la caja: lo que costaria comprarla y saldar deudas
Valoración
Veces beneficio esperado
26.45x
Lo mismo, pero con el beneficio que los analistas esperan el año que viene
Veces beneficio operativo (EV/EBITDA)
19.79x
Cuántas veces el beneficio operativo anual paga el mercado por la empresa entera
Negocio
Crecimiento de ingresos
99.5%
Margen bruto
25.4%
De cada 100 dolares vendidos, lo que queda tras el coste directo del producto
Margen operativo
10.2%
Lo que queda de cada 100 dolares vendidos tras todos los gastos del negocio
Deuda
Caja disponible
215.24 M$
Deuda total
108.10 M$
Caja neta
107.14 M$
Caja menos deuda. En positivo, la empresa tiene más dinero que deudas
Años de beneficio operativo para pagar la deuda
-1.03x
Por encima de 3 suele considerarse una deuda exigente
Deuda sobre fondos propios
16.0%
Cuánta deuda usa por cada 100 dolares de capital de los accionistas
Accionistas
Acciones emitidas
56,470,333
Acciones que cotizan libremente
32,629,688
Cuanto menor sea, más bruscos suelen ser los movimientos de precio
Parte en manos de directivos
2.3%
Si los que dirigen la empresa tienen mucho invertido, se juegan lo mismo que tu
Apuestas bajistas sobre el free float
10.4%
Porcentaje de acciones prestadas para apostar a la baja
Why some numbers are coloured and others stay grey
Colour repeats what the sign already says, at three intensities depending on how far the value is from zero. It is never the only signal.
- light
- medium
- strong
- light
- medium
- strong
- Price change: light up to 2%, medium up to 10%, strong above that.
- Margins and growth: light up to 10%, medium up to 35%, strong above that.
Everything whose sign is not good or bad on its own stays grey: valuation (a low P/E can be a bargain or a trap, and almost every company here has just fallen), debt, size, insider ownership and short interest. Those are shown as-is, without the site taking a view.
Development spotted after the drop
Aevex (AVEX) Forms 'Hammer Chart Pattern': Time for Bottom Fishing? · 4 September 2026
We don't judge whether it's good or bad news: compare it against the real performance in the table below.
Performance after being discarded
We keep tracking the price of the companies we discard so we can measure whether discarding them was a mistake.
Technical detail
This company stayed in preliminary screening: the Python filter picked it for its objective data and it was discarded before the qualitative analysis ever ran on it. That is why there is no analysis or risks of its own here: what was stored is an automatic text, identical across every card at this stage, and showing it as analysis would be misleading.
Catalyst
No catalyst recorded. (Next month)