FRMI

Fermi Inc.

analysed on 2026-09-01

The drop is not large enough

1-year price history

Source: Yahoo Finance
- Calculating change...

The chart uses daily closes adjusted by the available provider. There may be delays, gaps or differences versus the official source.

Company

Fermi Inc. develops next-generation private electric grids that deliver highly redundant power at gigawatt scale to support next-generation intelligence and AI compute.

Why it was discarded

What happened

The stock fell 7.7% and the most likely cause is this: Quarterly results dated 31 August 2026.

Reason for discarding

The drop is not large enough. La caida no alcanza el umbral minimo exigido (1 dia o 48h).

What did look good

  • Confirmed: we know which news caused the drop. The news was published before the price started falling, so the timing lines up.
  • We estimate it overshot: it fell about -16.4 points more than the real damage we were able to quantify would justify.
  • Out of our 10 checks, 2 come out clearly in favour.
  • Final score: 14 out of 100.

What would have to change to consider it again

Se reactivaria como candidato si que el checklist de subsanabilidad supere el minimo exigido (actual 2/10, minimo 7/10); que el gap de sobrerreaccion supere el minimo exigido (actual -16.4pp, minimo 8.0pp).

What the confidence percentage means

Careful: this 90% does not say the stock will go up. It is the reliability of the source that confirmed the catalyst (an official SEC filing). Since almost every candidate is detected from an official SEC filing, this number repeats a lot.

Verified data: 7 of 10 checks have real data.

Detection analysis

This structured block did not exist yet for this historical page.

Where the score comes from

The score is computed by Python code from objective data, not by the AI model, and it does not change after the qualitative research.

Raw score 14.5
Data coverage 82.5% Points not measurable today: 17.5 out of 100.
Coverage-adjusted score 17.6 The adjusted figure does not replace the real score or the ranking. It only visually corrects how much of the 100 points was actually measurable, so missing data is not confused with weak quality.
Fixable problem 7.5 / 25
How much of the problem behind the drop looks fixable
Company strength 0.0 / 20
Revenue, margins, cash and debt before the drop
Overreaction size 0.0 / 15
How much it fell beyond the estimated real damage
Company response 0.0 / 15
Whether management responded publicly after the drop
Chart support 0.0 / 10
Whether the price holds above its 50-day average
Institutional money 0.0 / 10
Large-fund buying: no reliably up-to-date source exists
Bonus points +7.0
Insider buying, capitulation volume, analysts keeping their rating
Penalty -0.0
Deteriorating sector and negative signals detected
out of 100 14.5

The 10 checks (2 clearly in favour)

Each line is a question the system tries to answer with a real figure. "No data" means there is no reliable source to answer it, not that the answer is bad.

Check Answer What it is based on
El catalizador es puntual y no estructural Yes temporal_causality_status='confirmed', deteccion='max_drawdown_over_60m_candles_48h_market_window'.
El FCF sigue positivo o en tendencia positiva No data Sin free_cashflow trimestral ni TTM disponible.
El guidance anual se mantiene o no ha sido emitido No data Yahoo no expone guidance corporativo propio, solo revision de consenso de analistas (ver criterio 10).
La direccion ha comunicado respuesta al problema No 27.0h desde el inicio de la caida sin comunicado de investor_relations detectado.
El balance aguanta sin necesidad de capital Partly net_cash=-513851968 negativo, pero debt_to_equity=55.87 por debajo de 200.0.
Los insiders no han vendido de forma agresiva Partly net_shares_purchased_pct=-0.6 (venta neta leve).
La caida supera el impacto cuantificable del evento No overreaction_gap_pct=-16.43 (la caida no supera el impacto).
El sector no esta en deterioro estructural Yes XLRE change_1m=-2.52%.
Hay precedentes de recuperacion post-evento No data Sin historico de eventos de caida previos por ticker en esta base de datos todavia.
El consenso no ha recortado estimaciones mas de un 10% No consensus_revision_pct=-24.11% (recorte severo).

Company indicators

Precio

Variación en 1 día -6.84%
Variación en 5 días -22.96%
Variación en 1 mes -23.22%
Variación en 3 meses -29.85%
Acciones negociadas ese día 16,269,091
Volumen medio de 10 días 15,380,950 Sirve para comparar: si el volumen del día lo dispara, algo ha pasado

Tamaño

Valor en bolsa 2.97 B$ Lo que cuesta comprar todas las acciones de la empresa
Valor de la empresa entera 3.70 B$ Valor en bolsa más la deuda y menos la caja: lo que costaria comprarla y saldar deudas

Valoración

Veces beneficio esperado 39.95x Lo mismo, pero con el beneficio que los analistas esperan el año que viene

Negocio

Margen bruto 0.0% De cada 100 dolares vendidos, lo que queda tras el coste directo del producto
Margen operativo 0.0% Lo que queda de cada 100 dolares vendidos tras todos los gastos del negocio

Deuda

Caja disponible 62.54 M$
Deuda total 576.39 M$
Caja neta -513.85 M$ Caja menos deuda. En positivo, la empresa tiene más dinero que deudas
Deuda sobre fondos propios 55.9% Cuánta deuda usa por cada 100 dolares de capital de los accionistas

Accionistas

Acciones emitidas 640,467,348
Acciones que cotizan libremente 462,475,067 Cuanto menor sea, más bruscos suelen ser los movimientos de precio
Parte en manos de directivos 47.1% Si los que dirigen la empresa tienen mucho invertido, se juegan lo mismo que tu
Apuestas bajistas sobre el free float 10.1% Porcentaje de acciones prestadas para apostar a la baja

Why some numbers are coloured and others stay grey

Colour repeats what the sign already says, at three intensities depending on how far the value is from zero. It is never the only signal.

  • light
  • medium
  • strong
  • light
  • medium
  • strong
  • Price change: light up to 2%, medium up to 10%, strong above that.
  • Margins and growth: light up to 10%, medium up to 35%, strong above that.

Everything whose sign is not good or bad on its own stays grey: valuation (a low P/E can be a bargain or a trap, and almost every company here has just fallen), debt, size, insider ownership and short interest. Those are shown as-is, without the site taking a view.

Performance after being discarded

We keep tracking the price of the companies we discard so we can measure whether discarding them was a mistake.

Price when discarded
4.63 USD
Latest price
5.12
1-week return
pending
1-month return
pending
3-month return
pending
Status
tracking

Technical detail

This company stayed in preliminary screening: the Python filter picked it for its objective data and it was discarded before the qualitative analysis ever ran on it. That is why there is no analysis or risks of its own here: what was stored is an automatic text, identical across every card at this stage, and showing it as analysis would be misleading.

Catalyst

No catalyst recorded. (Next month)

Temporal causality

Status
Confirmed: we know which news caused the drop
Price move start
2026-08-31 17:30:00
Price move end
2026-09-01 19:30:00
Detection method
max_drawdown_over_60m_candles_48h_market_window
Primary catalyst
earnings (2026-08-31 00:00:00)
Temporal distance (min)
1050.0

Overreaction gap

Gap
-16.43pp
Quantified impact
24.11%
Impact basis
consensus_revision_pct (Yahoo earningsTrend: revision del consenso EPS a 90 dias)

Recovery scenario in the analysis (if reactivated)

Type
Technical, short-term
Horizon
1-10 days
Recovery level cited
45.0%
Technical support
Price has lost its 50-day average
Institutional flow
sin_datos
Non-assessable data (informational)
17.5

Auditable explanation

Why it showed up
Aparecio en el cribado de Radar Caídas por caida de 1 dia -6.84% y caida real en 48h de -7.68%; catalizador principal de tipo 'earnings' fechado 2026-08-31T00:00:00.
Why it was researched
No requirio investigacion cualitativa adicional: la evidencia estructurada ya era suficiente.
Why it was discarded
Descartado (bucket 'rejected_threshold'): la caida no alcanzo el umbral minimo exigido por el framework (1 dia o 48h). Detalle registrado: La caida no alcanza el umbral minimo exigido (1 dia o 48h).
Decisive factor
Score 14.5 = subsanabilidad 7.5 + solidez 0.0 + gap 0.0 + management 0.0 + tecnico 0.0 + institucional 0.0 + bonus 7.0 - penalty 0.0. Factor mas limitante: solidez (0.0/20).
Reactivation conditions
Se reactivaria como candidato si que el checklist de subsanabilidad supere el minimo exigido (actual 2/10, minimo 7/10); que el gap de sobrerreaccion supere el minimo exigido (actual -16.4pp, minimo 8.0pp).