LSTR: why it was discarded

Why it was discarded

What happened

The stock fell 8.6%, but we could not identify which news caused it.

Reason for discarding

The drop is not large enough. La caida no alcanza el umbral minimo exigido (1 dia o 48h).

What did look good

Likely: there is recent news consistent with the drop. There is a company event in the last 48 hours, but we could not place it before the drop began precisely enough to confirm it. The sources reviewed are at the bottom of this page.
We could not measure the overshoot, because there is no public figure for this catalyst's real damage.
Out of our 10 checks, 3 come out clearly in favour.
Final score: 32 out of 100.

What would have to change to consider it again

Se reactivaria como candidato si que se confirme un catalizador principal dentro de la ventana temporal exigida; que el checklist de subsanabilidad supere el minimo exigido (actual 3/10, minimo 7/10); que aparezca una fuente real que permita cuantificar el impacto del catalizador.

What the confidence percentage means

Careful: this 90% does not say the stock will go up. It is the reliability of the source that confirmed the catalyst (an official SEC filing). Since almost every candidate is detected from an official SEC filing, this number repeats a lot.

Verified data: 6 of 10 checks have real data.

Where the score comes from

The score is computed by Python code from objective data, not by the AI model, and it does not change after the qualitative research.

Fixable problem 10.0 / 25

How much of the problem behind the drop looks fixable

Company strength 20.0 / 20

Revenue, margins, cash and debt before the drop

Overreaction size 0.0 / 15

How much it fell beyond the estimated real damage

Company response 0.0 / 15

Whether management responded publicly after the drop

Chart support 0.0 / 10

Whether the price holds above its 50-day average

Institutional money 0.0 / 10

Large-fund buying: no reliably up-to-date source exists

Bonus points +10.0

Insider buying, capitulation volume, analysts keeping their rating

Penalty -7.5

Deteriorating sector and negative signals detected

out of 100 32.5

The 10 checks (3 clearly in favour)

Each line is a question the system tries to answer with a real figure. "No data" means there is no reliable source to answer it, not that the answer is bad.

Check	Answer	What it is based on
El catalizador es puntual y no estructural	Partly	temporal_causality_status='probable', deteccion='max_drawdown_over_60m_candles_5d_window'.
El FCF sigue positivo o en tendencia positiva	No data	Sin free_cashflow trimestral ni TTM disponible.
El guidance anual se mantiene o no ha sido emitido	No data	Yahoo no expone guidance corporativo propio, solo revision de consenso de analistas (ver criterio 10).
La direccion ha comunicado respuesta al problema	No	148.0h desde el inicio de la caida sin comunicado de investor_relations detectado.
El balance aguanta sin necesidad de capital	Yes	net_cash=209079008 (caja neta positiva).
Los insiders no han vendido de forma agresiva	Yes	net_shares_purchased_pct=5.9 (compra neta o neutro).
La caida supera el impacto cuantificable del evento	No data	Sin impacto cuantificable disponible (solo earnings/guidance tienen fuente cuantificable hoy).
El sector no esta en deterioro estructural	Partly	XLI change_1m=-3.69%.
Hay precedentes de recuperacion post-evento	No data	Sin historico de eventos de caida previos por ticker en esta base de datos todavia.
El consenso no ha recortado estimaciones mas de un 10%	Yes	consensus_revision_pct=11.16%.

Company indicators

Precio

Variación en 1 día -4.77%

Variación en 5 días -18.57%

Variación en 1 mes -18.12%

Variación en 3 meses -8.26%

Acciones negociadas ese día 1,249,269

Volumen medio de 10 días 490,650 Sirve para comparar: si el volumen del día lo dispara, algo ha pasado

Tamaño

Valor en bolsa 5.75 B$ Lo que cuesta comprar todas las acciones de la empresa

Valor de la empresa entera 5.83 B$ Valor en bolsa más la deuda y menos la caja: lo que costaria comprarla y saldar deudas

Valoración

Veces beneficio esperado 22.24x Lo mismo, pero con el beneficio que los analistas esperan el año que viene

Veces beneficio operativo (EV/EBITDA) 23.41x Cuántas veces el beneficio operativo anual paga el mercado por la empresa entera

PER ajustado al crecimiento (PEG) 1.31x Un PER alto puede estar justificado si la empresa crece rápido. Por debajo de 1 suele verse como barato

Negocio

Crecimiento de ingresos 18.1%

Crecimiento medio anual de ingresos -13.9% Media de varios años: filtra el ruido de un solo trimestre

Margen bruto 19.1% De cada 100 dolares vendidos, lo que queda tras el coste directo del producto

Margen operativo 4.6% Lo que queda de cada 100 dolares vendidos tras todos los gastos del negocio

Deuda

Caja disponible 347.70 M$

Deuda total 138.62 M$

Caja neta 209.08 M$ Caja menos deuda. En positivo, la empresa tiene más dinero que deudas

Años de beneficio operativo para pagar la deuda -0.84x Por encima de 3 suele considerarse una deuda exigente

Deuda sobre fondos propios 16.6% Cuánta deuda usa por cada 100 dolares de capital de los accionistas

Accionistas

Acciones emitidas 33,936,925

Acciones que cotizan libremente 31,775,143 Cuanto menor sea, más bruscos suelen ser los movimientos de precio

Parte en manos de directivos 0.8% Si los que dirigen la empresa tienen mucho invertido, se juegan lo mismo que tu

Apuestas bajistas sobre el free float 5.4% Porcentaje de acciones prestadas para apostar a la baja

Why some numbers are coloured and others stay grey

Colour repeats what the sign already says, at three intensities depending on how far the value is from zero. It is never the only signal.

light
medium
strong
light
medium
strong

Price change: light up to 2%, medium up to 10%, strong above that.
Margins and growth: light up to 10%, medium up to 35%, strong above that.

Everything whose sign is not good or bad on its own stays grey: valuation (a low P/E can be a bargain or a trap, and almost every company here has just fallen), debt, size, insider ownership and short interest. Those are shown as-is, without the site taking a view.

Performance after being discarded

We keep tracking the price of the companies we discard so we can measure whether discarding them was a mistake.

Entry price: 169.34 USD
Latest price: 174.77
1-week return: pending
1-month return: pending
3-month return: pending
Status: tracking

Technical detail

This company stayed in preliminary screening: the Python filter picked it for its objective data and it was discarded before the qualitative analysis ever ran on it. That is why there is no thesis or risks of its own here: what was stored is an automatic text, identical across every card at this stage, and showing it as analysis would be misleading.

Catalyst

No catalyst recorded. (Next month)

Temporal causality

Status: Likely: there is recent news consistent with the drop
Price move start: 2026-07-24 16:30:00
Price move end: 2026-07-30 18:30:00
Detection method: max_drawdown_over_60m_candles_5d_window
Primary catalyst: - (no date)
Temporal distance (min): -

Overreaction gap

Gap: no data
Quantified impact: no data
Impact basis: -

Expected rebound (if reactivated)

Type: Fundamentals-driven recovery
Horizon: 14-56 days
Recovery target: 100.0%
Technical support: Price has lost its 50-day average
Institutional flow: sin_datos
Non-assessable data (informational): 20.0

Auditable explanation

Why it showed up: Aparecio en el cribado de Crash Hunter por caida de 1 dia -4.77% y caida real en 48h de -8.58%; sin catalizador principal aislado por el motor de causalidad (estado: probable).
Why it was researched: No requirio investigacion cualitativa adicional: la evidencia estructurada ya era suficiente.
Why it was discarded: Descartado (bucket 'rejected_threshold'): la caida no alcanzo el umbral minimo exigido por el framework (1 dia o 48h). Detalle registrado: La caida no alcanza el umbral minimo exigido (1 dia o 48h).
Decisive factor: Score 32.5 = subsanabilidad 10.0 + solidez 20.0 + gap 0.0 + management 0.0 + tecnico 0.0 + institucional 0.0 + bonus 10.0 - penalty 7.5. Factor mas limitante: gap (0.0/15).
Reactivation conditions: Se reactivaria como candidato si que se confirme un catalizador principal dentro de la ventana temporal exigida; que el checklist de subsanabilidad supere el minimo exigido (actual 3/10, minimo 7/10); que aparezca una fuente real que permita cuantificar el impacto del catalizador.