Back to discarded companies

SNDK (Sandisk Corporation)

The drop is not large enough · analysed on 2026-07-31

Why it was discarded

What happened

The stock rose 19.6% and the most likely cause is this: Press article dated 31 July 2026 — “El blog de analistas de Zacks destaca a Applied Materials, SanDisk, Eaton y Flanigan's”.

Reason for discarding

The drop is not large enough. La caida no alcanza el umbral minimo exigido (1 dia o 48h).

What did look good

  • Confirmed: we know which news caused the drop. The news was published before the price started falling, so the timing lines up.
  • We could not measure the overshoot, because there is no public figure for this catalyst's real damage.
  • Out of our 10 checks, 4 come out clearly in favour.
  • Final score: 42 out of 100.

What would have to change to consider it again

Se reactivaria como candidato si que el checklist de subsanabilidad supere el minimo exigido (actual 4/10, minimo 7/10); que aparezca una fuente real que permita cuantificar el impacto del catalizador.

What the confidence percentage means

Careful: this 75% does not say the stock will go up. It is the reliability of the source that confirmed the catalyst (the Nasdaq earnings calendar). Since almost every candidate is detected from an official SEC filing, this number repeats a lot.

Verified data: 7 of 10 checks have real data.

Where the score comes from

The score is computed by Python code from objective data, not by the AI model, and it does not change after the qualitative research.

Fixable problem 12.5 / 25
How much of the problem behind the drop looks fixable
Company strength 20.0 / 20
Revenue, margins, cash and debt before the drop
Overreaction size 0.0 / 15
How much it fell beyond the estimated real damage
Company response 0.0 / 15
Whether management responded publicly after the drop
Chart support 0.0 / 10
Whether the price holds above its 50-day average
Institutional money 0.0 / 10
Large-fund buying: no reliably up-to-date source exists
Bonus points +17.0
Insider buying, capitulation volume, analysts keeping their rating
Penalty -7.5
Deteriorating sector and negative signals detected
out of 100 42.0

The 10 checks (4 clearly in favour)

Each line is a question the system tries to answer with a real figure. "No data" means there is no reliable source to answer it, not that the answer is bad.

CheckAnswerWhat it is based on
El catalizador es puntual y no estructural Yes temporal_causality_status='confirmed', deteccion='max_drawdown_over_60m_candles_48h_market_window'.
El FCF sigue positivo o en tendencia positiva Partly free_cashflow (TTM)=2259500032; sin dato trimestral mas reciente.
El guidance anual se mantiene o no ha sido emitido No data Yahoo no expone guidance corporativo propio, solo revision de consenso de analistas (ver criterio 10).
La direccion ha comunicado respuesta al problema No 25.0h desde el inicio de la caida sin comunicado de investor_relations detectado.
El balance aguanta sin necesidad de capital Yes net_cash=3528000064 (caja neta positiva).
Los insiders no han vendido de forma agresiva Yes net_shares_purchased_pct=1.0 (compra neta o neutro).
La caida supera el impacto cuantificable del evento No data Sin impacto cuantificable disponible (solo earnings/guidance tienen fuente cuantificable hoy).
El sector no esta en deterioro estructural Partly XLK change_1m=-5.53%.
Hay precedentes de recuperacion post-evento No data Sin historico de eventos de caida previos por ticker en esta base de datos todavia.
El consenso no ha recortado estimaciones mas de un 10% Yes consensus_revision_pct=52.67%.

Company indicators

Precio

Variación en 1 día -5.09%
Variación en 5 días -15.43%
Variación en 1 mes -40.22%
Variación en 3 meses +10.79%
Acciones negociadas ese día 20,683,214
Volumen medio de 10 días 18,046,010 Sirve para comparar: si el volumen del día lo dispara, algo ha pasado

Tamaño

Valor en bolsa 179.90 B$ Lo que cuesta comprar todas las acciones de la empresa
Valor de la empresa entera 186.02 B$ Valor en bolsa más la deuda y menos la caja: lo que costaria comprarla y saldar deudas

Valoración

Veces beneficio esperado 5.70x Lo mismo, pero con el beneficio que los analistas esperan el año que viene
Veces beneficio operativo (EV/EBITDA) 33.03x Cuántas veces el beneficio operativo anual paga el mercado por la empresa entera
Veces caja libre (EV/FCF) 82.33x Lo mismo, pero contra el dinero que la empresa genera de verdad

Negocio

Crecimiento de ingresos 251.0%
Margen bruto 56.0% De cada 100 dolares vendidos, lo que queda tras el coste directo del producto
Margen operativo 70.0% Lo que queda de cada 100 dolares vendidos tras todos los gastos del negocio
Caja libre generada (12 meses) 2.26 B$ Dinero que sobra tras pagar gastos e inversiones. En negativo, la empresa quema caja
Cuánto beneficio operativo se convierte en caja 0.40x Cerca de 1 significa que el beneficio contable acaba siendo dinero real

Deuda

Caja disponible 3.74 B$
Deuda total 207.00 M$
Caja neta 3.53 B$ Caja menos deuda. En positivo, la empresa tiene más dinero que deudas
Años de beneficio operativo para pagar la deuda -0.63x Por encima de 3 suele considerarse una deuda exigente
Deuda sobre fondos propios 1.5% Cuánta deuda usa por cada 100 dolares de capital de los accionistas

Accionistas

Acciones emitidas 148,089,758
Acciones que cotizan libremente 146,003,173 Cuanto menor sea, más bruscos suelen ser los movimientos de precio
Parte en manos de directivos 1.2% Si los que dirigen la empresa tienen mucho invertido, se juegan lo mismo que tu
Apuestas bajistas sobre el free float 8.3% Porcentaje de acciones prestadas para apostar a la baja

Why some numbers are coloured and others stay grey

Colour repeats what the sign already says, at three intensities depending on how far the value is from zero. It is never the only signal.

  • light
  • medium
  • strong
  • light
  • medium
  • strong
  • Price change: light up to 2%, medium up to 10%, strong above that.
  • Margins and growth: light up to 10%, medium up to 35%, strong above that.

Everything whose sign is not good or bad on its own stays grey: valuation (a low P/E can be a bargain or a trap, and almost every company here has just fallen), debt, size, insider ownership and short interest. Those are shown as-is, without the site taking a view.

Performance after being discarded

We keep tracking the price of the companies we discard so we can measure whether discarding them was a mistake.

Entry price
1214.83 USD
Latest price
1214.83
1-week return
pending
1-month return
pending
3-month return
pending
Status
tracking

Technical detail

This company stayed in preliminary screening: the Python filter picked it for its objective data and it was discarded before the qualitative analysis ever ran on it. That is why there is no thesis or risks of its own here: what was stored is an automatic text, identical across every card at this stage, and showing it as analysis would be misleading.

Catalyst

No catalyst recorded. (Next month)

Temporal causality

Status
Confirmed: we know which news caused the drop
Price move start
2026-07-30 19:30:00
Price move end
2026-07-31 14:30:00
Detection method
max_drawdown_over_60m_candles_48h_market_window
Primary catalyst
news (2026-07-31 06:47:00)
Temporal distance (min)
-677.0

Overreaction gap

Gap
no data
Quantified impact
no data
Impact basis
-

Expected rebound (if reactivated)

Type
Fundamentals-driven recovery
Horizon
14-56 days
Recovery target
100.0%
Technical support
Price has lost its 50-day average
Institutional flow
sin_datos
Non-assessable data (informational)
17.5

Auditable explanation

Why it showed up
Aparecio en el cribado de Crash Hunter por caida de 1 dia -5.09% y caida real en 48h de +19.56%; catalizador principal de tipo 'news' fechado 2026-07-31T06:47:00.
Why it was researched
No requirio investigacion cualitativa adicional: la evidencia estructurada ya era suficiente.
Why it was discarded
Descartado (bucket 'rejected_threshold'): la caida no alcanzo el umbral minimo exigido por el framework (1 dia o 48h). Detalle registrado: La caida no alcanza el umbral minimo exigido (1 dia o 48h).
Decisive factor
Score 42.0 = subsanabilidad 12.5 + solidez 20.0 + gap 0.0 + management 0.0 + tecnico 0.0 + institucional 0.0 + bonus 17.0 - penalty 7.5. Factor mas limitante: gap (0.0/15).
Reactivation conditions
Se reactivaria como candidato si que el checklist de subsanabilidad supere el minimo exigido (actual 4/10, minimo 7/10); que aparezca una fuente real que permita cuantificar el impacto del catalizador.