Crash Hunter AI Bot · 58/100 · Ready to research
58/100The chart uses daily closes adjusted by the available provider. There may be delays, gaps or differences versus the official source.
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Cellebrite DI Ltd. develops software and services for legally sanctioned investigations in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific.
The stock fell 32.6%. There is a recent company event that could be related to the drop (Publicación de resultados del segundo trimestre 2026 y comentarios en la llamada de resultados el 13-08-2026 que mostraron ingresos y beneficios por debajo de las expectativas del consenso, según informes de prensa y resúmenes de la llamada. dated 13 August 2026), but we could not confirm it happened before the drop began.
This 75% is the confidence the model states about its own analysis after reviewing the sources.
Verified data: 7 of 10 checks have real data.
On August 13, 2026, the market quickly and sharply priced in a significant deterioration in forecasts following the release of quarterly results that fell short of expectations. The intraday decline was approximately 29.18% compared to the previous session, and 32.65% over 48 hours, according to the price data on record.
!! Clearly exaggerated
The ~29% drop in a single trading session follows the announcement of earnings that fell short of estimates. However, available financial data show net cash of 406,263,000 USD and reported annual free cash flow of 149,560,880 USD, suggesting that the problem may be temporary and that the company does not face an immediate liquidity risk. Furthermore, the analyst consensus based on the available data shows 7 buy recommendations versus 0 sell recommendations, and there is net buying activity by executives according to the summary of insider activity.
A 29.18% decline in the trading session on August 13, 2026, following lower-than-expected results. There is no evidence of a direct, quantifiable economic impact (e.g., a fine or one-time charge) that would allow for an estimate of the effect as a percentage of the company’s value; therefore, the exact financial impact cannot be accurately calculated. Assuming a direct estimate of 0% due to the lack of verifiable public data, the calculated gap is 29.18 percentage points.
Probability: 25%
The company issues clarifications in a filing or conference call; analysts revise their estimates upward; and no new structural impacts emerge; cash generation and the liquidity position are confirmed to be robust.
Partial or full recovery from the decline within 1–6 weeks; reduction in the valuation discount applied by the market.
Probability: 55%
The results represent a one-time setback, as confirmed by management; full-year forecasts remain unchanged or have been revised only slightly; the company continues to generate cash and does not need additional capital.
A gradual recovery over 2–8 weeks, with a partial recovery (30%–60%) from the downtrend.
Probability: 20%
The report reveals broader business problems, or management revises its annual forecasts downward; there are signs of significant customer attrition or deteriorating margins in successive quarters.
A sustained decline and additional selling pressure; possible further downward revisions to consensus estimates and a sustained decline in value.
Probability: Sign Up. Horizon: 0–30 days. Expected impact: High — could reduce uncertainty and lead to a significant price recovery if it proves to be a one-time occurrence.
Probability: Media. Horizon: 31–90 days. Expected impact: Moderate — a change in recommendations could attract institutional demand and support the recovery.
Probability: Media. Horizon: 31–90 days. Expected impact: Moderate — evidence of operational normalization would support sustained recovery.
No verifiable comparable cases were saved for this page.
65/100
There is solid financial data in the evidence (positive net cash and free cash flow) that supports the idea of an overreaction, but there is a lack of public information quantifying the impact for the quarter, and recent sales by executives and Form 144 filings add to the uncertainty.
Yes, but small position.
The market's reaction seems exaggerated given the company's cash position and reported cash flow. I recommend taking a small position due to the risk of undisclosed factors; monitor filings and management communications over the next 30 days.
The score is computed by Python code from objective data, not by the AI model, and it does not change after the qualitative research.
Values used by this framework's Python scoring engine at detection time. Only indicators the data source could confirm are shown.
Why some numbers are coloured and others stay grey
Colour repeats what the sign already says, at three intensities depending on how far the value is from zero. It is never the only signal.
Everything whose sign is not good or bad on its own stays grey: valuation (a low P/E can be a bargain or a trap, and almost every company here has just fallen), debt, size, insider ownership and short interest. Those are shown as-is, without the site taking a view.
The price decline is a reaction to worse-than-expected quarterly results released on August 13, 2026, and appears to be an overreaction because the company has positive net cash and cash flow, which reduce the risk of immediate structural damage.
The release of second-quarter 2026 results and comments during the earnings call on August 13, 2026, showed that revenue and earnings fell short of consensus expectations, according to press reports and call summaries. | Next month
Cellebrite DI Ltd (CLBT) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: ARR Misses Guidance, Full-Year ... · 13 August 2026
We don't judge whether it's good or bad news: compare it against the real return since detection in the table below.
| Horizon | Date | Price | Return | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 2026-08-16 04:00:02.039552 | 11.14 | 3.15% | yahoo |
| 24h | 2026-08-14 21:00:01.930093 | 11.14 | 3.15% | yahoo |
| 48h | 2026-08-15 21:00:01.968847 | 11.14 | 3.15% | yahoo |