← Back to radar
LIF

Life360, Inc.

Crash Hunter AI Bot · 59/100 · Candidate

59/100

1-year price history

Source: Yahoo Finance
- Calculating change...

The chart uses daily closes adjusted by the available provider. There may be delays, gaps or differences versus the official source.

Sources

Links you can open and check yourself, most reliable first. Internal data-provider fetches are not listed here.

Formulario 144: aviso de venta de acciones de un directivo Formulario 8-K: hecho relevante comunicado a la SEC Formulario 10-Q: cuentas del trimestre Formulario 4: compraventa de acciones por un directivo earnings event

Company

Life360, Inc. operates a technology platform to locate people, pets, and things in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally.

Why this company shows up

What happened

The stock fell 23.2% and the most likely cause is this: Quarterly results dated 10 August 2026.

Why we found it interesting

  • Confirmed: we know which news caused the drop. The news was published before the price started falling, so the timing lines up.
  • We estimate it overshot: it fell about 15.1 points more than the real damage we were able to quantify would justify.
  • Out of our 10 checks, 6 come out clearly in favour.
  • Final score: 59 out of 100.

What could go wrong

  • According to media reports, the company released more cautious annual forecasts on August 10, 2026, and further downward revisions would confirm a real deterioration.
  • According to the data provided, the consensus among analysts has cut earnings estimates by 8.1% over the past 90 days.
  • Sales reports (Form 144) were filed on August 4 and 10, 2026, authorizing public sales by significant shareholders.
  • If operating cash flow reverses in subsequent quarters, the current valuation could be justified.

What would make us drop it

  • Within the next 60 days, the company will publish a formal downward revision of its annual forecasts of more than 10% in revenue or in whatever metric it officially uses.
  • The company reports a decline in operating cash flow of more than $50 million in the next quarter compared to the current quarter.
  • A subsequent 8-K filing discloses a material regulatory investigation or a fine amounting to more than 5% of the company's market capitalization.
  • The company loses a customer or contract that accounts for more than 20% of its reported revenue.

What the confidence percentage means

This 70% is the confidence the model states about its own analysis after reviewing the sources.

Verified data: 8 of 10 checks have real data.

Professional thesis validation

1. What is the market pricing in

The market appears to be pricing in a significant downgrade of the annual forecasts following the announcement on August 10, 2026. The stock fell ~24.8% in the following trading session, even as news reports described the quarter as a record one but with conservative annual forecasts. Consensus revisions show an 8.1% decline in estimates over 90 days. At the same time, the company reports positive net cash (~$153.5M) and positive operating cash flow (~$104.3M), suggesting that the publicly observed financial impact is limited relative to its market capitalization (~$3.94B).

2. Is it justified

!! Clearly exaggerated

The 24.76% price drop in one day (market data) contrasts with public financial data: Q2 described as “record-breaking” (source: August 10, 2026), total cash of 464.984M USD and total debt of 311.475M USD, resulting in net cash of ~153.509M USD, and operating cash flow of 104.266M USD according to the fundamentals. There is no directly reportable cost in the sources that would justify an immediate reduction in value of nearly 25%.

3. Overreaction gap

Stock drop
24.76%
Estimated economic impact
0.00%
Gap
24.76pp

The sources do not indicate any quantifiable public economic impact (fines, loss of a major contract, etc.) that would allow for an accurate estimate of the percentage of the impact; therefore, the actual impact cannot be rigorously calculated and is left unquantified publicly. The price drop (24.76%) is not supported by any reported expense or loss of a similar magnitude.

4. Probability scenarios

Bull case

Probability: 20%

Management clarifies that the annual forecasts were intentionally conservative and confirms that operating performance and cash generation remain robust; the coming quarters show sustained growth.

Partial to complete rapid recovery: 50%–80% of the loss within 1–6 weeks.

Base case

Probability: 60%

Annual forecasts remain conservative but have not been further revised downward; the company continues to report cash generation and user growth.

Partial recovery: 30%–60% of the decline within 2–8 weeks.

Bear case

Probability: 20%

The company reports additional downward revisions to its forecasts or evidence of operational deterioration (a decline in operating cash flow or a significant loss of customers).

Further decline in price; limited recovery or no rebound in recent months.

5. What would fully invalidate the thesis

  • The company will issue a formal downward revision of its annual forecasts—by more than 10% in revenue or the official metric—within the next 60 days.
  • Operating cash flow turned negative, exceeding $50 million in the following reported quarter.
  • A subsequent 8-K disclosure reveals a material regulatory investigation or a public fine whose cost exceeds 5% of the company's market capitalization.

6. Recovery catalysts

  1. Public Statement by Management Regarding the Cautious Nature of the Forecasts

    Probability: Media. Horizon: 1–2 weeks. Expected impact: Easing of uncertainty and a rapid, partial recovery in price (30%–60%).

  2. Subsequent quarters show revenue growth and sustained cash flow

    Probability: Media. Horizon: 4–8 weeks. Expected impact: Confirmation that the problem was a one-time occurrence and a more complete recovery of the price.

  3. Purchase of shares by the company or members of management (share repurchase program or reported purchases)

    Probability: Cancel. Horizon: 1–3 months. Expected impact: Improved confidence and support for the price, with the potential for a further rebound.

7. Historical comparison

No verifiable comparable cases were saved for this page.

8. Thesis confidence level

55/100

Moderate confidence because there is public data supporting the thesis (“record” Q2, positive net cash flow, cash generation) and the price decline is significant; however, conservative annual forecasts and consensus revisions introduce additional uncertainty.

9. Final verdict

Yes, but small position.

The reaction seems exaggerated, and there is data to support this. I recommend taking a small position until management clarifies its forecasts or there is confirmation of cash generation in the coming quarters.

Where the score comes from

The score is computed by Python code from objective data, not by the AI model, and it does not change after the qualitative research.

Raw score 58.9
Data coverage 85.0% Points not measurable today: 15.0 out of 100.
Coverage-adjusted score 69.3 The adjusted figure does not replace the real score or the ranking. It only visually corrects how much of the 100 points was actually measurable, so missing data is not confused with weak quality.
Fixable problem 16.2 / 25
How much of the problem behind the drop looks fixable
Company strength 15.0 / 20
Revenue, margins, cash and debt before the drop
Overreaction size 5.7 / 15
How much it fell beyond the estimated real damage
Company response 0.0 / 15
Whether management responded publicly after the drop
Chart support 5.0 / 10
Whether the price holds above its 50-day average
Institutional money 0.0 / 10
Large-fund buying: no reliably up-to-date source exists
Bonus points +17.0
Insider buying, capitulation volume, analysts keeping their rating
Penalty -0.0
Deteriorating sector and negative signals detected
out of 100 58.9

Indicators

Calculated 2026-08-11T20:30:01.944719

Values used by this framework's Python scoring engine at detection time. Only indicators the data source could confirm are shown.

Precio

Variación en 1 día -24.76%
Variación en 5 días -24.01%
Variación en 1 mes -6.91%
Variación en 3 meses +12.32%
Acciones negociadas ese día 4,220,790
Volumen medio de 10 días 666,720 Sirve para comparar: si el volumen del día lo dispara, algo ha pasado

Tamaño

Valor en bolsa 3.94 B$ Lo que cuesta comprar todas las acciones de la empresa
Valor de la empresa entera 5.11 B$ Valor en bolsa más la deuda y menos la caja: lo que costaria comprarla y saldar deudas

Valoración

Veces beneficio esperado 28.07x Lo mismo, pero con el beneficio que los analistas esperan el año que viene
Veces beneficio operativo (EV/EBITDA) 204.53x Cuántas veces el beneficio operativo anual paga el mercado por la empresa entera
Veces caja libre (EV/FCF) 82.88x Lo mismo, pero contra el dinero que la empresa genera de verdad

Negocio

Crecimiento de ingresos 37.8%
Crecimiento medio anual de ingresos 28.9% Media de varios años: filtra el ruido de un solo trimestre
Margen bruto 77.6% De cada 100 dolares vendidos, lo que queda tras el coste directo del producto
Margen operativo -0.0% Lo que queda de cada 100 dolares vendidos tras todos los gastos del negocio
Caja libre generada (12 meses) 61.60 M$ Dinero que sobra tras pagar gastos e inversiones. En negativo, la empresa quema caja
Cuánto beneficio operativo se convierte en caja 2.47x Cerca de 1 significa que el beneficio contable acaba siendo dinero real

Deuda

Caja disponible 464.98 M$
Deuda total 311.48 M$
Caja neta 153.51 M$ Caja menos deuda. En positivo, la empresa tiene más dinero que deudas
Años de beneficio operativo para pagar la deuda -6.15x Por encima de 3 suele considerarse una deuda exigente
Deuda sobre fondos propios 50.8% Cuánta deuda usa por cada 100 dolares de capital de los accionistas

Accionistas

Acciones emitidas 81,031,691
Acciones que cotizan libremente 77,814,046 Cuanto menor sea, más bruscos suelen ser los movimientos de precio
Parte en manos de directivos 3.7% Si los que dirigen la empresa tienen mucho invertido, se juegan lo mismo que tu
Apuestas bajistas sobre el free float 13.0% Porcentaje de acciones prestadas para apostar a la baja

Why some numbers are coloured and others stay grey

Colour repeats what the sign already says, at three intensities depending on how far the value is from zero. It is never the only signal.

  • light
  • medium
  • strong
  • light
  • medium
  • strong
  • Price change: light up to 2%, medium up to 10%, strong above that.
  • Margins and growth: light up to 10%, medium up to 35%, strong above that.

Everything whose sign is not good or bad on its own stays grey: valuation (a low P/E can be a bargain or a trap, and almost every company here has just fallen), debt, size, insider ownership and short interest. Those are shown as-is, without the site taking a view.

Thesis

The price drop is an overreaction: the market punished the company for its more cautious annual forecasts following a quarter of record results, but the company maintains positive net cash and operating cash flow, so the public financial impact appears to be limited.

Catalyst

Release of second-quarter 2026 results (August 10, 2026): a report described by the media as “mixed” and conservative full-year forecasts announced by the company triggered a sell-off. | Next month

Risks

  • According to media reports, the company released more cautious annual forecasts on August 10, 2026, and further downward revisions would confirm a real deterioration.
  • According to the data provided, the consensus among analysts has cut earnings estimates by 8.1% over the past 90 days.
  • Sales reports (Form 144) were filed on August 4 and 10, 2026, authorizing public sales by significant shareholders.
  • If operating cash flow reverses in subsequent quarters, the current valuation could be justified.

Invalidation

  • Within the next 60 days, the company will publish a formal downward revision of its annual forecasts of more than 10% in revenue or in whatever metric it officially uses.
  • The company reports a decline in operating cash flow of more than $50 million in the next quarter compared to the current quarter.
  • A subsequent 8-K filing discloses a material regulatory investigation or a fine amounting to more than 5% of the company's market capitalization.
  • The company loses a customer or contract that accounts for more than 20% of its reported revenue.

Tracking

HorizonDatePriceReturnSource
Current 2026-08-16 04:00:02.039552 51.21 5.35% yahoo
24h 2026-08-12 21:00:02.793853 49.15 1.11% yahoo
48h 2026-08-13 21:00:01.920490 50.25 3.37% yahoo

Keep researching

Daily report for August 11, 2026